CNN’s Brilliant Analysis Of Each Country’s Strengths And Weaknesses If War Breaks Out In North Asia
Story from: 2oceansvibe.com
Look, North Asia is a region in serious turmoil.
North Korea is flexing its muscles in a big way, US Secretary of State Rex Tillerson is headed for meetings as the States send US anti-missile batteries, and China is freaking out about what they say is an impending ‘military confrontation’.
According to CNN, “China’s state news agency openly speculating Asia is on the verge of a nuclear arms race, the likes of which has not been seen since the Cold War”.
We told you a while back what one US military expert expects his country to do if they deem an attack on North Korea necessary (HERE), but that doesn’t factor in the other countries whose interests and actions must also be taken into consideration.
So what happens if everything unravels and war breaks out – exactly who comes out on top? Time for a strengths and weaknesses analysis via CNN:
China: Big on numbers, short on experience
With almost 3 million people in its military, the People’s Republic of China has the world’s largest fighting force in terms of sheer manpower, but most of that won’t come into play in any Pacific conflict. And analysts say manpower plays into one of China’s biggest weakness: The collective lack of combat experience in those forces…
China’s main strength lies in its extensive missile program, which features missiles that could hit US air bases in Japan and Guam, experts say.
If the US air bases can be taken out, the US’ technologically superior F-35 and F-22 stealth fighters, and its B-1 and B-52 heavy bombers would be low on options to rearm and refuel.
You’re getting into this, aren’t you?
US military’s crescent of technology
In any Western Pacific conflict, the US military possesses a network of bases where it can position fighting machines technologically superior to what any potential adversary can offer…
The sheer breadth of it makes it hard to defeat.
“Their positioning is such that a simple attack on Japan will not be enough to permanently destabilize [sic] the US operating capacity in the region,” [Corey Wallace, a security analyst] said. “Neutralizing all of these installations will also require picking a lot more fights with a lot more actors.”
That said, the US does have its vulnerabilities. One of the biggest could be its reliance on aerial refueling and intelligence and surveillance aircraft, analysts say.
Strikes on those fixed bases could result in devastating casualties to the US military. According to the International Institute for Strategic Studies, the US has more than 47,000 troops stationed in Japan, more than 28,000 in South Korea, 5,000 in Guam and hundreds of other scattered among Pacific allies such as Singapore and Australia.
North Korea keeps everyone guessing
What makes Pyongyang strong? Two things: Kim Jong Un has nuclear capability and no adversary can be sure if he’ll use it…
The rouge state does have another key advantage — the South Korean capital of Seoul is only 35 miles from the border with the North, putting 25 million people there within range of North Korean artillery and rockets and the lead elements of Pyongyang’s military of 1.2 million members, just 100,000 shy of the entire size of the US military.
Pyongyang’s primary disadvantage comes immediately after any first strike. The country is resource poor and in no position to engage in sustained combat with the US, South Korean and possibly Japanese militaries.
It’s kind of like when Pieter “Slaptjips” Rossouw used to get the ball back in the day – no one has a clue what to expect.
South Korea’s ability to focus
Seoul has been facing a hostile North Korea since the Korean War armistice in 1953. That, said Mapp, is a key strength, one which has enabled Seoul to develop a formidable military focused on only one thing: not attacking someone else, but protecting themselves…
But Wallace says it’s another alliance that may prove to be a South Korean vulnerability in the event of conflict. South Korea doesn’t “play nice with Japan on a variety of military and intelligence issues,” he says.
Japan can’t punch back
While South Korea needs to only concentrate on one adversary, Japan needs to focus on two, North Korea and China…
“Subsurface detection and reaction is a Japanese strength in both technological and operational terms, and a Chinese weakness, even if (China) quantitatively has a larger subsurface fleet,” Wallace said.
Japan’s Soryu-class hunter-killer subs are a big part of that strength. Tokyo has 12 of the Soryu-class, the largest subs it has built since World War II, in service or on order, according to the International Institute for Strategic Studies…
Japan’s big weakness is its ability to project offensive firepower, analysts say.
“They can bomb anyone landing on one of Japan’s main islands… but they can’t strike Chinese or North Korean air bases or missile sites,” Schuster says, pointing out that Japanese warplanes don’t carry the equipment necessary to suppress enemy air defenses.
“They can defend but they can’t punch back,” he says.
If this was an alternate reality, one where war didn’t mean millions of innocent lives lost, I’d kind of like to see how this one plays out.
Alas it is not, and we best all hope that things don’t escalate beyond the point of no return.
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